Betting on the exact score: when is it profitable to do so?
Betting on the exact score has long been considered the ‘highest level’ among players. It offers the highest odds, but requires a cool head, deep analysis and an understanding of the teams' styles. This market is rarely chosen by beginners, but experienced players know that it is on the Meltbet website that you can find really solid odds. It is only important to understand when such predictions are appropriate and when it is better to stick to safer options.
When teams play in a predictable style
The optimal moment for betting on the exact score is a match between two teams with a stable playing style. There are clubs that almost always play cautiously, often closing down after one goal or playing strictly defensively. For example, teams with a weak attack but a solid defence often end matches with a modest number of goals: 1:0, 1:1 or 0:1.
If the statistics for xG, possession percentage and number of shots over the last 5-10 matches show a recurring pattern, it is possible to make a more accurate prediction. Such bets are especially profitable in leagues where teams consistently adhere to the same tactics, such as Serie A or Ligue 1, where low scores are common.
When the favourite consistently dominates but does not crush their opponents
There are matches where the favourite is obvious, but their style does not suggest a rout. In such cases, you can bet on the exact score with a confident minimum advantage — for example, 2:0 or 2:1. This often works in championships where the leaders prefer to play pragmatically: they score and then comfortably control the ball without trying to ‘finish off’ their opponents.
An important indicator is the average number of goals scored by the favourite in recent matches. If a team regularly wins with the same score, it makes sense to take a risk. Such situations are often found in the Spanish Primera or English Premier League among clubs that play strictly according to the system.
When teams often repeat the same score between themselves
The history of head-to-head matches is an important tool in a bettor's arsenal. In some pairs of teams, the same scenarios are repeated over several seasons. For example, opponents regularly play at a pace that does not allow each other to accelerate, and the matches receive a stable ‘low’ score of 1:1, 0:0 or 1:0.
If the statistics show 3-5 consecutive matches with similar results, you can try to identify a pattern. This works especially well in championships where clubs often meet each other - national championships, cups, regional leagues.ConclusionBetting on the exact score is a strategy for patient players who are willing to analyse deeply and are not chasing quick wins. They offer huge odds, but require confidence in the game scenario. It is profitable to place such a bet when teams show a predictable pattern of play, the favourite wins with repeated minimal advantages, or when the history of personal meetings suggests a likely outcome. A correctly selected match turns a risky market into an excellent opportunity to hit the jackpot.